Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 12:30 • İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.61) 1.01 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.2% 20.4% 17.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.8%
1 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Erbaaspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
İnegölspor 0 4.5% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.4% 9.5% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.9% 6.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricİnegölsporErbaaspor
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack53%27%
Defense67%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric İnegölspor Erbaaspor
HATHAT
Played141428151429
Wins50%50%50%33%21%28%
Draws29%29%29%13%29%21%
Loses21%21%21%53%50%52%

Form: İnegölspor: LWWLWLDWDWWWWDLLWWDWWDDLDWWD • Erbaaspor: DLWWDLLWWWWLLLLLLLLLWLDDLLWDD

League goals

Metric İnegölspor Erbaaspor
HATHAT
GF total292453151732
GF avg2.11.71.91.01.21.1
GA total151631262248
GA avg1.11.11.11.71.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineİnegölsporErbaaspor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%61%62%79%
1.554%36%28%45%
2.532%11%7%31%
3.511%4%7%7%
4.57%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricİnegölsporErbaaspor
HATHAT
Clean sheets4711516
Failed to score2357411

Penalties

MetricİnegölsporErbaaspor
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricİnegölsporErbaaspor
Wins44
Draws22
Losses29

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-52-01-6
Biggest losses0-23-00-53-0
Goals For6546
Goals Against2453

Model comparison

MetricİnegölsporErbaaspor
Form62%38%
Att67%33%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total63.3%36.8%

Advice: Double chance : İnegölspor or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Unibet
Draw4.40 @ Betfair
Away7.41 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.23 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Marathonbet
No2.10 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): İnegölspor = 2.09 (league 1.61), Erbaaspor = 1.01 (league 1.31)

Erbaaspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
İnegölspor 0 4.5% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.4% 9.5% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.9% 6.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.2% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 17.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1