Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion am Bruchweg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.57 (league 2.04) 0.31 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.3% 11.1% 3.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.5%
3 - 0
15.8%
1 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Turbine Potsdam W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mainz 05 W 0 5.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.3% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.5% 5.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.8% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.2% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMainz 05 WTurbine Potsdam W
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack41%47%
Defense65%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mainz 05 W Turbine Potsdam W
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%67%0%40%
Draws0%33%20%0%0%0%
Loses50%33%40%33%100%60%

Form: Mainz 05 W: LWDWL • Turbine Potsdam W: WLWLL

League goals

Metric Mainz 05 W Turbine Potsdam W
HATHAT
GF total347628
GF avg1.51.31.42.01.01.6
GA total1563710
GA avg0.51.71.21.03.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMainz 05 WTurbine Potsdam W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%80%60%
1.540%20%80%60%
2.540%20%0%60%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMainz 05 WTurbine Potsdam W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricMainz 05 WTurbine Potsdam W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMainz 05 WTurbine Potsdam W
Wins11
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-0—
Biggest losses0-13-02-34-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against1334

Model comparison

MetricMainz 05 WTurbine Potsdam W
Form54%46%
Att47%53%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total63.0%37.3%

Advice: Winner : Mainz 05 W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Mainz 05 W = 2.57 (league 2.04), Turbine Potsdam W = 0.31 (league 1.59)

Turbine Potsdam W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mainz 05 W 0 5.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.3% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.5% 5.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.8% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.2% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.3% · Draw 11.1% · Away win 3.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1