Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 15:00 •
Stadion am Bruchweg
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.98)
1.32 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.4% | 28.3% | 47.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.9%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Stuttgart | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mainz 05 W | 0 | 11.3% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 64% | 93% |
| Defense | 50% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Stuttgart | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Mainz 05 W: LWDWLD • Stuttgart: WDDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Stuttgart | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mainz 05 W | Stuttgart | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 83% | 100% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 33% | 67% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 17% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Stuttgart | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 5-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 49.6% | 50.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Mainz 05 W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mainz 05 W = 0.86 (league 1.98), Stuttgart = 1.32 (league 1.52)
| Stuttgart | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mainz 05 W | 0 | 11.3% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.4% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 47.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1