Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 12:00 •
Sportpark Aschheim
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.99)
1.27 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.5% | 29.7% | 57.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
23.2%
0 - 0
18.3%
0 - 2
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Mainz 05 W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bayern München II W | 0 | 18.3% | 23.2% | 14.8% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bayern München II W | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 32% | 45% |
| Defense | 59% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bayern München II W | Mainz 05 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 17% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
Form: Bayern München II W: LDWLWL • Mainz 05 W: LWDWLDL
League goals
| Metric | Bayern München II W | Mainz 05 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 3 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bayern München II W | Mainz 05 W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 71% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 57% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 33% | 43% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 14% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bayern München II W | Mainz 05 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bayern München II W | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bayern München II W | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 2-4 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 4-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bayern München II W | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 21% | 79% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Mainz 05 W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bayern München II W = 0.43 (league 1.99), Mainz 05 W = 1.27 (league 1.54)
| Mainz 05 W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bayern München II W | 0 | 18.3% | 23.2% | 14.8% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.5% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 57.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1