Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:00 •
Lohrheidestadion
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.99)
1.82 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.8% | 21.8% | 38.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
7.9%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Mainz 05 W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bochum | 0 | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bochum | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 30% | 65% |
| Defense | 55% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bochum | Mainz 05 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 40% | 50% | 44% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| Draws | 20% | 25% | 22% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Loses | 40% | 25% | 33% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
Form: Bochum: WDWLWDWLL • Mainz 05 W: LWDWLDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Bochum | Mainz 05 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bochum | Mainz 05 W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 89% | 78% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 44% | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 11% | 56% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 0% | 22% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 22% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bochum | Mainz 05 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bochum | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bochum | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 2-3 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 4-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bochum | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 45.8% | 54.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mainz 05 W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bochum = 1.81 (league 1.99), Mainz 05 W = 1.82 (league 1.54)
| Mainz 05 W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bochum | 0 | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.8% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 38.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1