Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadion am Bruchweg
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 2.04)
1.61 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.5% | 20.9% | 28.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Wolfsburg II W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mainz 05 W | 0 | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Wolfsburg II W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 29% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 16 | 3.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Wolfsburg II W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Draws | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Loses | 40% | 20% | 30% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
Form: Mainz 05 W: LWDWLDLWWW • Wolfsburg II W: LLLWDWLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Wolfsburg II W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 11 | 23 | 13 | 8 | 21 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mainz 05 W | Wolfsburg II W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 70% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 70% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 20% | 30% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 10% | 20% | 30% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Wolfsburg II W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Wolfsburg II W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Wolfsburg II W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 6-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 4-5 | 3-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Wolfsburg II W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 49.0% | 51.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Wolfsburg II W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mainz 05 W = 2.12 (league 2.04), Wolfsburg II W = 1.61 (league 1.59)
| Wolfsburg II W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mainz 05 W | 0 | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.5% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 28.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1