Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:00 •
Bezirkssportanlage Mitte Platz 1
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 2.04)
1.92 (league 1.61)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.9% | 21.8% | 58.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
11.0%
0 - 2
10.6%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Mainz 05 W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ingolstadt | 0 | 5.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 80% |
| Attack | 33% | 88% |
| Defense | 38% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 21 | 4.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Mainz 05 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 60% | 20% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 55% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 10% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
| Loses | 40% | 60% | 50% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
Form: Ingolstadt: LWDWLLWWLL • Mainz 05 W: LWDWLDLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Mainz 05 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 7 | 13 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ingolstadt | Mainz 05 W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 70% | 82% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 60% | 73% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 30% | 64% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 30% | 27% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 9% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Mainz 05 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 7-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-1 | 4-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 28% | 72% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 32.3% | 68.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Mainz 05 W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ingolstadt = 0.94 (league 2.04), Mainz 05 W = 1.92 (league 1.61)
| Mainz 05 W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ingolstadt | 0 | 5.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.9% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 58.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1