Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:00 •
Rasenplatz Sand
Expected Goals
2.57 (league 2.04)
1.14 (league 1.61)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.4% | 17.0% | 14.8% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
2 - 0
8.0%
3 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Mainz 05 W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SC Sand W | 0 | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SC Sand W | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 100% |
| Attack | 42% | 100% |
| Defense | 63% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 22 | 4.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
81%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SC Sand W | Mainz 05 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 83% | 57% | 69% | 57% | 67% | 62% |
| Draws | 0% | 14% | 8% | 14% | 17% | 15% |
| Loses | 17% | 29% | 23% | 29% | 17% | 23% |
Form: SC Sand W: WWLWWWDWLWWWL • Mainz 05 W: LWDWLDLWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | SC Sand W | Mainz 05 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 10 | 31 | 25 | 14 | 39 |
| GF avg | 3.5 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 3.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SC Sand W | Mainz 05 W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 54% | 85% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 23% | 77% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 15% | 69% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 38% | 8% | 31% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 8% | 15% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SC Sand W | Mainz 05 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | SC Sand W | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | SC Sand W | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-1 | 0-4 | 7-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-1 | 4-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SC Sand W | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 43.5% | 56.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : SC Sand W or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): SC Sand W = 2.57 (league 2.04), Mainz 05 W = 1.14 (league 1.61)
| Mainz 05 W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SC Sand W | 0 | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.4% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 14.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1