Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 10:00 • Stadion am Bruchweg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.98) 1.73 (league 1.62)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.1% 22.5% 65.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.8%
0 - 2
15.4%
0 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Meppen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mainz 05 W 0 10.3% 17.8% 15.4% 8.9% 3.8% 1.3%
1 5.6% 9.7% 8.4% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7%
2 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMainz 05 WMeppen
Played55
Form80%100%
Attack95%85%
Defense65%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)19 | 3.817 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mainz 05 W Meppen
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%57%57%71%57%64%
Draws14%14%14%0%29%14%
Loses29%29%29%29%14%21%

Form: Mainz 05 W: LWDWLDLWWWWWWL • Meppen: WLDWLDLWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Mainz 05 W Meppen
HATHAT
GF total251439231437
GF avg3.62.02.83.32.02.6
GA total10112110212
GA avg1.41.61.51.40.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMainz 05 WMeppen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%86%86%43%
1.571%36%50%29%
2.564%14%50%14%
3.529%7%36%0%
4.514%7%21%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMainz 05 WMeppen
HATHAT
Clean sheets202358
Failed to score123022

Penalties

MetricMainz 05 WMeppen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMainz 05 WMeppen
Wins61
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-11-48-00-5
Biggest losses4-53-01-31-0
Goals For7485
Goals Against5331

Model comparison

MetricMainz 05 WMeppen
Form44%56%
Att53%47%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mainz 05 W or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mainz 05 W = 0.54 (league 1.98), Meppen = 1.73 (league 1.62)

Meppen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mainz 05 W 0 10.3% 17.8% 15.4% 8.9% 3.8% 1.3%
1 5.6% 9.7% 8.4% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7%
2 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.1% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 65.5%

vtt 4 , vtd1