Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 12:00 •
Stadion am Bruchweg
Expected Goals
4.00 (league 1.95)
0.96 (league 1.62)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% |
best score tips
3 - 0
7.5%
4 - 0
7.5%
3 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Bayern München II W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mainz 05 W | 0 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Bayern München II W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 76% | 82% |
| Defense | 65% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
81%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Bayern München II W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 50% | 60% | 55% | 27% | 44% | 35% |
| Draws | 30% | 10% | 20% | 27% | 0% | 15% |
| Loses | 20% | 30% | 25% | 45% | 56% | 50% |
Form: Mainz 05 W: LWDWLDLWWWWWWLDDLWWW • Bayern München II W: LDWLWWLLLLLLDWLWWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Bayern München II W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 22 | 52 | 23 | 12 | 35 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 12 | 15 | 27 | 23 | 23 | 46 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mainz 05 W | Bayern München II W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 75% | 75% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 65% | 40% | 40% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 10% | 25% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 35% | 5% | 15% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 15% | 5% | 10% | 15% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Bayern München II W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Bayern München II W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Bayern München II W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-1 | 0-4 | 6-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 4-5 | 3-0 | 1-5 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mainz 05 W | Bayern München II W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 48% | 52% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 63.0% | 37.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Mainz 05 W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mainz 05 W = 4.00 (league 1.95), Bayern München II W = 0.96 (league 1.62)
| Bayern München II W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mainz 05 W | 0 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.7% · Draw 7.4% · Away win 4.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1