Tue, Oct 14 2025 • 18:45 •
The Memorial Playing Fields
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.71)
1.30 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.4% | 29.1% | 53.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.3%
0 - 0
14.8%
0 - 2
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Leatherhead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hartley Wintney | 0 | 14.8% | 19.3% | 12.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Leatherhead |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 44% | 100% |
| Defense | 11% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Leatherhead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 25% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 80% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 20% | 17% | 0% | 10% |
| Loses | 25% | 33% | 30% | 17% | 0% | 10% |
Form: Hartley Wintney: WWLDWLWDLW • Leatherhead: WWWWWDLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Leatherhead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 3 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hartley Wintney | Leatherhead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 50% | 90% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 30% | 80% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 10% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Leatherhead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Leatherhead |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Leatherhead |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-0 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Leatherhead |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 39.2% | 60.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Leatherhead
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hartley Wintney = 0.61 (league 1.71), Leatherhead = 1.30 (league 1.54)
| Leatherhead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hartley Wintney | 0 | 14.8% | 19.3% | 12.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 53.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1