Tue, Oct 14 2025 • 18:45 •
Five Heads Park
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.70)
2.67 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.7% | 17.5% | 57.0% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.2%
1 - 3
7.3%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Fareham Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Horndean | 0 | 1.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Horndean | Fareham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 13% |
| Attack | 44% | 33% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
79%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Horndean | Fareham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 0% | 17% | 10% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 70% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
Form: Horndean: WLLDLLDLLL • Fareham Town: LLWWLDLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Horndean | Fareham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 13 | 11 | 24 | 9 | 16 | 25 |
| GA avg | 3.3 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Horndean | Fareham Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 100% | 70% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 60% | 20% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 50% | 10% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 20% | 10% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Horndean | Fareham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Horndean | Fareham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Horndean | Fareham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-4 | 1-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 4-2 | 0-3 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Horndean | Fareham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 52% | 48% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 45.8% | 54.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Fareham Town
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Horndean = 1.50 (league 1.70), Fareham Town = 2.67 (league 1.48)
| Fareham Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Horndean | 0 | 1.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.7% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 57.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1