Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 •
Five Heads Park
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.70)
2.46 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.6% | 15.8% | 70.6% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.1%
0 - 3
9.9%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Hartley Wintney | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Horndean | 0 | 4.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Horndean | Hartley Wintney |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 53% |
| Attack | 26% | 21% |
| Defense | 42% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Horndean | Hartley Wintney | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 20% | 14% | 17% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 29% | 17% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 80% | 57% | 67% | 17% | 33% | 25% |
Form: Horndean: WLLDLLDLLLWL • Hartley Wintney: WWLDWLWDLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Horndean | Hartley Wintney | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 14 | 12 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| GA avg | 2.8 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Horndean | Hartley Wintney | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 100% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 42% | 17% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 17% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Horndean | Hartley Wintney | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Horndean | Hartley Wintney |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Horndean | Hartley Wintney |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 4-2 | 1-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Horndean | Hartley Wintney |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 22% | 78% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 44.2% | 55.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Hartley Wintney
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Horndean = 0.76 (league 1.70), Hartley Wintney = 2.46 (league 1.48)
| Hartley Wintney | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Horndean | 0 | 4.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.6% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 70.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1