Tue, Nov 11 2025 • 19:45 • The OnSite Group Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.47 (league 1.70) 1.13 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.7% 3.6% 2.1%
best score tips
5 - 1
6.3%
4 - 1
5.7%
5 - 0
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
Fareham Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Portchester 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.7% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.1% 5.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 5.5% 6.3% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC PortchesterFareham Town
Played55
Form67%7%
Attack75%38%
Defense44%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

84%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Portchester Fareham Town
HATHAT
Played77148917
Wins71%14%43%13%11%12%
Draws0%14%7%25%11%18%
Loses29%71%50%63%78%71%

Form: AFC Portchester: LWLWLLWLLWWWDL • Fareham Town: LLWWLDLLDLLLLDLLL

League goals

Metric AFC Portchester Fareham Town
HATHAT
GF total21113281119
GF avg3.01.62.31.01.21.1
GA total101929142842
GA avg1.42.72.11.83.12.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC PortchesterFareham Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%79%76%82%
1.571%64%24%71%
2.536%43%6%35%
3.529%14%6%24%
4.57%7%0%12%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC PortchesterFareham Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets303123
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricAFC PortchesterFareham Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAFC PortchesterFareham Town
Wins32
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-31-00-4
Biggest losses4-53-00-37-1
Goals For5424
Goals Against5437

Model comparison

MetricAFC PortchesterFareham Town
Form91%9%
Att67%33%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h100%0%
Goals60%40%
Total70.8%29.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : AFC Portchester and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AFC Portchester = 5.47 (league 1.70), Fareham Town = 1.13 (league 1.48)

Fareham Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Portchester 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.7% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.1% 5.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 5.5% 6.3% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.7% · Draw 3.6% · Away win 2.1%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1