Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:00 •
Earlsmead Stadium
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.70)
1.13 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.2% | 23.5% | 24.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Hartley Wintney | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Harrow Borough | 0 | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Harrow Borough | Hartley Wintney |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 43% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Harrow Borough | Hartley Wintney | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 83% | 22% | 47% | 38% | 50% | 44% |
| Draws | 0% | 22% | 13% | 50% | 13% | 31% |
| Loses | 17% | 56% | 40% | 13% | 38% | 25% |
Form: Harrow Borough: WLWWLWLLLLWWWDD • Hartley Wintney: WWLDWLWDLWDWDWDL
League goals
| Metric | Harrow Borough | Hartley Wintney | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 7 | 21 | 28 | 6 | 12 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Harrow Borough | Hartley Wintney | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 87% | 75% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 33% | 31% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 33% | 19% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 13% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Harrow Borough | Hartley Wintney | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Harrow Borough | Hartley Wintney |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Harrow Borough | Hartley Wintney |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Harrow Borough | Hartley Wintney |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 61.2% | 38.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Harrow Borough or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Harrow Borough = 1.76 (league 1.70), Hartley Wintney = 1.13 (league 1.48)
| Hartley Wintney | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Harrow Borough | 0 | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.2% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 24.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1