Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 •
The Memorial Playing Fields
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.70)
0.70 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5% | 17.6% | 10.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.3%
1 - 0
11.9%
3 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Hayes & Yeading United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hartley Wintney | 0 | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.3% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.8% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Hayes & Yeading United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 56% |
| Defense | 22% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Hayes & Yeading United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 38% | 50% | 44% | 75% | 33% | 57% |
| Draws | 50% | 13% | 31% | 13% | 33% | 21% |
| Loses | 13% | 38% | 25% | 13% | 33% | 21% |
Form: Hartley Wintney: WWLDWLWDLWDWDWDL • Hayes & Yeading United: LWDLWWWWWLWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Hayes & Yeading United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 6 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 16 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hartley Wintney | Hayes & Yeading United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 56% | 79% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 38% | 57% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 6% | 29% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 6% | 14% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 7% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Hayes & Yeading United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Hayes & Yeading United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Hayes & Yeading United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 6-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-0 | 1-2 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Hayes & Yeading United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 55.3% | 44.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Hartley Wintney or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hartley Wintney = 2.22 (league 1.70), Hayes & Yeading United = 0.70 (league 1.48)
| Hayes & Yeading United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hartley Wintney | 0 | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.3% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.8% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.5% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 10.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1