Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 •
MKM Arena
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.70)
1.31 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.0% | 24.3% | 30.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Portchester | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bognor Regis Town | 0 | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | AFC Portchester |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 41% | 53% |
| Defense | 65% | 41% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | AFC Portchester | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 10 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 43% | 40% | 41% | 67% | 13% | 41% |
| Draws | 29% | 0% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 12% |
| Loses | 29% | 60% | 47% | 22% | 75% | 47% |
Form: Bognor Regis Town: WLLDLLLLWWLWWLWDW • AFC Portchester: LWLWLLWLLWWWDLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | AFC Portchester | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 11 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 10 | 21 | 31 | 12 | 20 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bognor Regis Town | AFC Portchester | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 88% | 76% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 53% | 65% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 29% | 35% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 12% | 24% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | AFC Portchester | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | AFC Portchester |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | AFC Portchester |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 4-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | AFC Portchester |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 56.8% | 43.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Bognor Regis Town or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bognor Regis Town = 1.62 (league 1.70), AFC Portchester = 1.31 (league 1.49)
| AFC Portchester | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bognor Regis Town | 0 | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.0% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 30.8%
vtt 2 , vtd1