Sat, Dec 13 2025 • 15:00 •
The SKYex Community Stadium
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.70)
0.61 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.1% | 19.8% | 10.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
2 - 0
14.6%
3 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Metropolitan Police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hayes & Yeading United | 0 | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.6% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hayes & Yeading United | Metropolitan Police |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 40% |
| Attack | 14% | 24% |
| Defense | 57% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hayes & Yeading United | Metropolitan Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 67% | 25% | 47% | 40% | 38% | 39% |
| Draws | 22% | 25% | 24% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Loses | 11% | 50% | 29% | 40% | 63% | 50% |
Form: Hayes & Yeading United: LWDLWWWWWLWWDDLDL • Metropolitan Police: LLWWDWDWLWLLLLWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Hayes & Yeading United | Metropolitan Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 10 | 29 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 6 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hayes & Yeading United | Metropolitan Police | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 72% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 35% | 50% | 61% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 29% | 17% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 18% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 12% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hayes & Yeading United | Metropolitan Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hayes & Yeading United | Metropolitan Police |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hayes & Yeading United | Metropolitan Police |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 1-2 | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 7-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hayes & Yeading United | Metropolitan Police |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Hayes & Yeading United or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hayes & Yeading United = 1.97 (league 1.70), Metropolitan Police = 0.61 (league 1.48)
| Metropolitan Police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hayes & Yeading United | 0 | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.6% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.1% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 10.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1