Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 •
Five Heads Park
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.68)
1.61 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.3% | 24.8% | 48.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Metropolitan Police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Horndean | 0 | 6.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Horndean | Metropolitan Police |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 24% | 29% |
| Defense | 35% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Horndean | Metropolitan Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 22% | 9% | 15% | 40% | 33% | 37% |
| Draws | 33% | 18% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Loses | 44% | 73% | 60% | 40% | 67% | 53% |
Form: Horndean: WLLDLLDLLLWLDLDLDLLW • Metropolitan Police: LLWWDWDWLWLLLLWWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Horndean | Metropolitan Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 14 | 24 | 16 | 11 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 18 | 27 | 45 | 21 | 15 | 36 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Horndean | Metropolitan Police | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 95% | 74% | 95% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 55% | 47% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 45% | 16% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 20% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Horndean | Metropolitan Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Horndean | Metropolitan Police |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Horndean | Metropolitan Police |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-4 | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Horndean | Metropolitan Police |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 30% | 70% |
| Total | 37.2% | 62.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Metropolitan Police
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Horndean = 1.11 (league 1.68), Metropolitan Police = 1.61 (league 1.49)
| Metropolitan Police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Horndean | 0 | 6.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 48.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1