Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 15:00 •
MKM Arena
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.68)
0.96 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.9% | 22.0% | 18.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
10.8%
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Fareham Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bognor Regis Town | 0 | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.8% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | Fareham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 7% |
| Attack | 47% | 13% |
| Defense | 47% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | Fareham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 12 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| Wins | 33% | 42% | 38% | 11% | 8% | 10% |
| Draws | 22% | 0% | 10% | 22% | 17% | 19% |
| Loses | 44% | 58% | 52% | 67% | 75% | 71% |
Form: Bognor Regis Town: WLLDLLLLWWLWWLWDWLWLL • Fareham Town: LLWWLDLLDLLLLDLLLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | Fareham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 23 | 33 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 14 | 24 | 38 | 18 | 35 | 53 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bognor Regis Town | Fareham Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 86% | 67% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 57% | 19% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 29% | 5% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 5% | 29% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | Fareham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | Fareham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | Fareham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | 1-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | Fareham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 72.5% | 27.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Bognor Regis Town or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bognor Regis Town = 1.90 (league 1.68), Fareham Town = 0.96 (league 1.49)
| Fareham Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bognor Regis Town | 0 | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.8% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.9% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 18.7%
vtt 3 , vtd1