Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 15:00 • Ascot Racecourse
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.68) 0.94 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.1% 22.2% 18.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Hartley Wintney
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ascot United 0 6.0% 5.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.3% 10.6% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.6% 9.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.6% 6.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAscot UnitedHartley Wintney
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack73%60%
Defense40%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ascot United Hartley Wintney
HATHAT
Played11920111021
Wins64%11%40%45%50%48%
Draws9%0%5%36%10%24%
Loses27%89%55%18%40%29%

Form: Ascot United: LWLWWLWWLLLLLWDLWWLL • Hartley Wintney: WWLDWLWDLWDWDWDLWWLWL

League goals

Metric Ascot United Hartley Wintney
HATHAT
GF total23629171431
GF avg2.10.71.51.51.41.5
GA total11162791524
GA avg1.01.81.40.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAscot UnitedHartley Wintney
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%80%76%62%
1.540%45%38%38%
2.525%5%24%5%
3.510%5%10%5%
4.55%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAscot UnitedHartley Wintney
HATHAT
Clean sheets314538
Failed to score347415

Penalties

MetricAscot UnitedHartley Wintney
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAscot UnitedHartley Wintney
Wins22
Draws11
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-23-01-4
Biggest losses0-24-00-25-0
Goals For5244
Goals Against2425

Model comparison

MetricAscot UnitedHartley Wintney
Form40%60%
Att55%45%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%62%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hartley Wintney

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ascot United = 1.87 (league 1.68), Hartley Wintney = 0.94 (league 1.49)

Hartley Wintney
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ascot United 0 6.0% 5.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.3% 10.6% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.6% 9.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.6% 6.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.1% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 18.4%

vtt 6 , vtd1