Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 15:00 • The OnSite Group Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.53 (league 1.70) 1.30 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.0% 11.6% 9.6%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.6%
4 - 1
6.7%
2 - 1
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Horndean
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Portchester 0 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.8% 3.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.0% 6.5% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.6% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.1% 6.7% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
5 3.6% 4.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC PortchesterHorndean
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack47%33%
Defense53%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Portchester Horndean
HATHAT
Played101020101121
Wins60%30%45%30%9%19%
Draws10%10%10%30%18%24%
Loses30%60%45%40%73%57%

Form: AFC Portchester: LWLWLLWLLWWWDLDLWWLW • Horndean: WLLDLLDLLLWLDLDLDLLWW

League goals

Metric AFC Portchester Horndean
HATHAT
GF total241539111425
GF avg2.41.52.01.11.31.2
GA total152136182745
GA avg1.52.11.81.82.52.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC PortchesterHorndean
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%76%90%
1.565%55%33%52%
2.530%35%5%43%
3.520%10%5%19%
4.55%5%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC PortchesterHorndean
HATHAT
Clean sheets415202
Failed to score235145

Penalties

MetricAFC PortchesterHorndean
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAFC PortchesterHorndean
Wins31
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-22-11-4
Biggest losses0-33-01-54-0
Goals For5424
Goals Against5455

Model comparison

MetricAFC PortchesterHorndean
Form56%44%
Att58%42%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h100%0%
Goals82%18%
Total64.0%36.0%

Advice: Double chance : AFC Portchester or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AFC Portchester = 3.53 (league 1.70), Horndean = 1.30 (league 1.49)

Horndean
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Portchester 0 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.8% 3.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.0% 6.5% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.6% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.1% 6.7% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
5 3.6% 4.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.0% · Draw 11.6% · Away win 9.6%

vtt 5 , vtd1