Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 •
Five Heads Park
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.68)
2.29 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.8% | 19.6% | 56.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.4%
1 - 1
8.2%
0 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Bognor Regis Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Horndean | 0 | 2.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Horndean | Bognor Regis Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 31% | 44% |
| Defense | 50% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Horndean | Bognor Regis Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 30% | 8% | 18% | 36% | 42% | 39% |
| Draws | 30% | 25% | 27% | 18% | 0% | 9% |
| Loses | 40% | 67% | 55% | 45% | 58% | 52% |
Form: Horndean: WLLDLLDLLLWLDLDLDLLWWD • Bognor Regis Town: WLLDLLLLWWLWWLWDWLWLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Horndean | Bognor Regis Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 15 | 26 | 13 | 23 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 18 | 28 | 46 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Horndean | Bognor Regis Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 91% | 83% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 50% | 48% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 41% | 13% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 18% | 9% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Horndean | Bognor Regis Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Horndean | Bognor Regis Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Horndean | Bognor Regis Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Horndean | Bognor Regis Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 36.5% | 63.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Bognor Regis Town
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Horndean = 1.31 (league 1.68), Bognor Regis Town = 2.29 (league 1.49)
| Bognor Regis Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Horndean | 0 | 2.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.8% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 56.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1