Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 14:00 •
Cams Alders Stadium
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.70)
1.69 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.4% | 24.1% | 49.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
0 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Hartley Wintney | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fareham Town | 0 | 6.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fareham Town | Hartley Wintney |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 20% |
| Attack | 50% | 31% |
| Defense | 38% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fareham Town | Hartley Wintney | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 17 | 30 | 12 | 14 | 26 |
| Wins | 15% | 6% | 10% | 42% | 36% | 38% |
| Draws | 23% | 12% | 17% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
| Loses | 62% | 82% | 73% | 25% | 36% | 31% |
Form: Fareham Town: LLWWLDLLDLLLLDLLLDLLLLLLDLWLLL • Hartley Wintney: WWLDWLWDLWDWDWDLWWLLWDLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Fareham Town | Hartley Wintney | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 19 | 35 | 17 | 19 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 24 | 51 | 75 | 12 | 23 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fareham Town | Hartley Wintney | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 87% | 73% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 63% | 38% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 40% | 19% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 30% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 13% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fareham Town | Hartley Wintney | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fareham Town | Hartley Wintney |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fareham Town | Hartley Wintney |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 7-1 | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 7 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fareham Town | Hartley Wintney |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 49.0% | 51.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Fareham Town or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Fareham Town = 1.13 (league 1.70), Hartley Wintney = 1.69 (league 1.49)
| Hartley Wintney | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fareham Town | 0 | 6.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 49.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1