Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:00 •
MKM Arena
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.70)
2.16 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.3% | 19.0% | 65.3% |
best score tips
0 - 2
11.6%
0 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Hanworth Villa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bognor Regis Town | 0 | 5.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | Hanworth Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 32% | 84% |
| Defense | 53% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 16 | 3.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | Hanworth Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 14 | 29 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 40% | 36% | 38% | 71% | 36% | 54% |
| Draws | 13% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 36% | 25% |
| Loses | 47% | 57% | 52% | 14% | 29% | 21% |
Form: Bognor Regis Town: WLLDLLLLWWLWWLWWDWLWLLWLLWLLD • Hanworth Villa: WDLLLWWWWLDWLWWDDWWDWWWLDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | Hanworth Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 26 | 45 | 35 | 26 | 61 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 25 | 28 | 53 | 9 | 16 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bognor Regis Town | Hanworth Villa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 86% | 82% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 55% | 57% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 28% | 32% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 14% | 21% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | Hanworth Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | Hanworth Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | Hanworth Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 9-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bognor Regis Town | Hanworth Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 32.2% | 67.8% |
Advice: Winner : Hanworth Villa
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bognor Regis Town = 0.84 (league 1.70), Hanworth Villa = 2.16 (league 1.49)
| Hanworth Villa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bognor Regis Town | 0 | 5.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.3% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 65.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1