Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Ascot Racecourse
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.70) 1.57 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.5% 22.1% 31.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Portchester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ascot United 0 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 5.9% 9.3% 7.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.8% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.6% 5.6% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAscot UnitedAFC Portchester
Played55
Form7%100%
Attack22%89%
Defense33%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.816 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ascot United AFC Portchester
HATHAT
Played151227141428
Wins53%17%37%64%43%54%
Draws13%0%7%14%14%14%
Loses33%83%56%21%43%32%

Form: Ascot United: LWLWWLWWLLLLLWWLWWLWLDLLLLD • AFC Portchester: LWLWLLWLLWWWDLDLWWDWLWDWWWWW

League goals

Metric Ascot United AFC Portchester
HATHAT
GF total281139352560
GF avg1.90.91.42.51.82.1
GA total202242162440
GA avg1.31.81.61.11.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAscot UnitedAFC Portchester
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%85%82%64%
1.541%52%68%43%
2.522%15%36%25%
3.511%4%21%7%
4.54%0%7%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAscot UnitedAFC Portchester
HATHAT
Clean sheets3147310
Failed to score459235

Penalties

MetricAscot UnitedAFC Portchester
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAscot UnitedAFC Portchester
Wins23
Draws11
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-22-45-00-3
Biggest losses0-34-00-33-0
Goals For5454
Goals Against3454

Model comparison

MetricAscot UnitedAFC Portchester
Form6%94%
Att20%80%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total23.0%77.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AFC Portchester

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ascot United = 1.90 (league 1.70), AFC Portchester = 1.57 (league 1.49)

AFC Portchester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ascot United 0 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 5.9% 9.3% 7.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.8% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.6% 5.6% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.5% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 31.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1