Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 15:00 •
The Memorial Playing Fields
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.69)
1.17 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.6% | 23.7% | 25.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Kingstonian | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hartley Wintney | 0 | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Kingstonian |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 50% | 56% |
| Defense | 0% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Kingstonian | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 16 | 30 | 16 | 17 | 33 |
| Wins | 36% | 38% | 37% | 44% | 29% | 36% |
| Draws | 36% | 25% | 30% | 19% | 18% | 18% |
| Loses | 29% | 38% | 33% | 38% | 53% | 45% |
Form: Hartley Wintney: WWLDWLWDLWDWDWDLWWLLWDLDDLWDLL • Kingstonian: LDWLWWLWWDLLLWLLLLWDLLDDLWWDWLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Kingstonian | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 23 | 42 | 31 | 27 | 58 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 15 | 31 | 46 | 29 | 36 | 65 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hartley Wintney | Kingstonian | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 70% | 85% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 47% | 61% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 13% | 24% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 10% | 6% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Kingstonian | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Kingstonian |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Kingstonian |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 4-2 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 6-1 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hartley Wintney | Kingstonian |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 36.7% | 63.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Kingstonian
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hartley Wintney = 1.73 (league 1.69), Kingstonian = 1.17 (league 1.50)
| Kingstonian | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hartley Wintney | 0 | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 25.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1