Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Fetcham Grove
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.73)
1.04 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.6% | 20.9% | 18.6% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Bedfont Sports | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leatherhead | 0 | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Leatherhead carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 229 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Leatherhead -5.3, Bedfont Sports -4.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Leatherhead
vs
Bedfont Sports
Elo gapLeatherhead +229
Home / draw / away65% / 18% / 17%
Expected home share79%
Combined Elo3081.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3081.1
Elo home share
79%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Leatherhead | Bedfont Sports |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1637.7 | 1443.4 |
| Form Elo | 1641.6 | 1431.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1558.2 | 1489.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1699.2 | 1488.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1530.5 | 1439.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -5.3 | -4.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Leatherhead last-5 Elo change: -5.3; Bedfont Sports last-5 Elo change: -4.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leatherhead | Bedfont Sports |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 45% | 41% |
| Defense | 68% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leatherhead | Bedfont Sports | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 19 | 37 | 21 | 18 | 39 |
| Wins | 56% | 79% | 68% | 38% | 22% | 31% |
| Draws | 11% | 21% | 16% | 24% | 33% | 28% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 16% | 38% | 44% | 41% |
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Bedfont SportsWDWLLDDDWLWLLDLLDDLWWWLDDWWDLWLDLLLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Leatherhead | Bedfont Sports | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 39 | 46 | 85 | 38 | 19 | 57 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 26 | 15 | 41 | 32 | 28 | 60 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leatherhead | Bedfont Sports | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 62% | 74% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 76% | 32% | 36% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 41% | 11% | 23% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 3% | 5% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 3% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leatherhead | Bedfont Sports | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leatherhead | Bedfont Sports |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leatherhead | Bedfont Sports |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-5 | 6-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 4-5 | — | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leatherhead | Bedfont Sports |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 64.2% | 36.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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