Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 18:45 •
Wellesley Recreation Ground
Expected Goals
3.76 (league 1.60)
1.56 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% |
best score tips
3 - 1
6.8%
4 - 1
6.3%
2 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Brightlingsea Regent | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gorleston | 0 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gorleston | Brightlingsea Regent |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 4 |
| Form | 67% | 25% |
| Attack | 56% | 39% |
| Defense | 56% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
79%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gorleston | Brightlingsea Regent | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 17% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
Form: Gorleston: WWLWDW • Brightlingsea Regent: LLLW
League goals
| Metric | Gorleston | Brightlingsea Regent | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gorleston | Brightlingsea Regent | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 83% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 83% | 67% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 17% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gorleston | Brightlingsea Regent | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gorleston | Brightlingsea Regent |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gorleston | Brightlingsea Regent |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-2 | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | — | 1-2 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gorleston | Brightlingsea Regent |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 54.8% | 45.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Gorleston or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gorleston = 3.76 (league 1.60), Brightlingsea Regent = 1.56 (league 1.28)
| Brightlingsea Regent | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gorleston | 0 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.2% · Draw 11.6% · Away win 10.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1