Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 19:45 •
Memorial Field
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.60)
1.09 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.8% | 28.5% | 33.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
12.1%
0 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Tilbury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Downham Town | 0 | 10.2% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Downham Town | Tilbury |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 47% |
| Attack | 7% | 47% |
| Defense | 27% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Downham Town | Tilbury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| Wins | 17% | 25% | 21% | 38% | 0% | 27% |
| Draws | 17% | 0% | 7% | 38% | 0% | 27% |
| Loses | 67% | 75% | 71% | 25% | 100% | 45% |
Form: Downham Town: WLLDLLLWWLLLLL • Tilbury: LWDLDLWLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Downham Town | Tilbury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 12 | 16 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Downham Town | Tilbury | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 93% | 64% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 57% | 27% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 29% | 0% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 21% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Downham Town | Tilbury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Downham Town | Tilbury |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Downham Town | Tilbury |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Downham Town | Tilbury |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 13% | 88% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 36.7% | 63.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Tilbury
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Downham Town = 1.18 (league 1.60), Tilbury = 1.09 (league 1.28)
| Tilbury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Downham Town | 0 | 10.2% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.8% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 33.4%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1