
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 •
Memorial Field
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.59)
0.53 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
home | draw | away |
---|---|---|
64.1% | 23.7% | 11.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.8%
2 - 0
15.4%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Tilbury | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
Downham Town | 0 | 11.5% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
1 | 18.8% | 9.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
2 | 15.4% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
3 | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
4 | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
5 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
Metric | Downham Town | Tilbury |
---|---|---|
Played | 5 | 5 |
Form | 40% | 33% |
Attack | 46% | 8% |
Defense | 15% | 77% |
Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
Metric | Downham Town | Tilbury | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
H | A | T | H | A | T | |
Played | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 29% |
Draws | 33% | 0% | 11% | 40% | 0% | 29% |
Loses | 33% | 67% | 56% | 20% | 100% | 43% |
Form: Downham Town: WLLDLLLWW • Tilbury: LWDLDLW
League goals
Metric | Downham Town | Tilbury | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
H | A | T | H | A | T | |
GF total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
GA total | 4 | 13 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
GA avg | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
Line | Downham Town | Tilbury | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
For | Against | For | Against | |
0.5 | 78% | 89% | 43% | 43% |
1.5 | 33% | 44% | 14% | 29% |
2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 22% | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
Metric | Downham Town | Tilbury | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
H | A | T | H | A | T | |
Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
Metric | Downham Town | Tilbury |
---|---|---|
Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
Metric | Downham Town | Tilbury |
---|---|---|
Wins | 1 | 1 |
Draws | 1 | 1 |
Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
Metric | H | A | H | A |
---|---|---|---|---|
Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | — |
Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
Metric | Downham Town | Tilbury |
---|---|---|
Form | 55% | 45% |
Att | 86% | 14% |
Def | 21% | 79% |
Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
H2h | 0% | 0% |
Goals | 0% | 0% |
Total | 59.5% | 40.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Downham Town or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Downham Town = 1.64 (league 1.59), Tilbury = 0.53 (league 1.23)
Tilbury | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
Downham Town | 0 | 11.5% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
1 | 18.8% | 9.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
2 | 15.4% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
3 | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
4 | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
5 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.1% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 11.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1