Wed, Nov 26 2025 • 19:45 • The EMR Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.61) 1.22 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.8% 24.2% 28.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Waltham Abbey
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grays Athletic 0 5.6% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.3% 11.4% 7.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.4% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGrays AthleticWaltham Abbey
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack40%55%
Defense55%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Grays Athletic Waltham Abbey
HATHAT
Played99189817
Wins33%22%28%78%25%53%
Draws33%33%33%0%38%18%
Loses33%44%39%22%38%29%

Form: Grays Athletic: WLDLLDDDWDDLWWLLLW • Waltham Abbey: WDDWWDLLWWWLLLWWW

League goals

Metric Grays Athletic Waltham Abbey
HATHAT
GF total13922241034
GF avg1.41.01.22.71.32.0
GA total111425101525
GA avg1.21.61.41.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGrays AthleticWaltham Abbey
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%72%82%71%
1.528%33%53%41%
2.517%28%35%12%
3.56%6%18%12%
4.56%0%12%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGrays AthleticWaltham Abbey
HATHAT
Clean sheets325325
Failed to score437033

Penalties

MetricGrays AthleticWaltham Abbey
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGrays AthleticWaltham Abbey
Wins23
Draws32
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-25-01-3
Biggest losses0-33-01-26-0
Goals For6353
Goals Against3426

Model comparison

MetricGrays AthleticWaltham Abbey
Form40%60%
Att42%58%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals59%41%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Grays Athletic or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Grays Athletic = 1.65 (league 1.61), Waltham Abbey = 1.22 (league 1.28)

Waltham Abbey
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grays Athletic 0 5.6% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.3% 11.4% 7.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.4% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.8% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 28.1%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1