Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 19:45 •
Wellesley Recreation Ground
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.56)
1.63 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.0% | 24.5% | 46.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
0 - 1
9.6%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Maldon & Tiptree | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gorleston | 0 | 5.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gorleston | Maldon & Tiptree |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 58% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gorleston | Maldon & Tiptree | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| Wins | 67% | 47% | 57% | 94% | 57% | 77% |
| Draws | 13% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 21% | 13% |
| Loses | 20% | 40% | 30% | 0% | 21% | 10% |
Form: Gorleston: WWLWDWWLLWWLWWDWWLWLDDWWLWWLLW • Maldon & Tiptree: WWWWWDWWWWLWWWDWLWWWWWWDWLWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Gorleston | Maldon & Tiptree | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 27 | 52 | 48 | 23 | 71 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 19 | 27 | 46 | 6 | 15 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gorleston | Maldon & Tiptree | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 77% | 93% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 40% | 67% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 23% | 40% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 23% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gorleston | Maldon & Tiptree | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gorleston | Maldon & Tiptree |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gorleston | Maldon & Tiptree |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 6-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-0 | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gorleston | Maldon & Tiptree |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Maldon & Tiptree
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gorleston = 1.20 (league 1.56), Maldon & Tiptree = 1.63 (league 1.28)
| Maldon & Tiptree | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gorleston | 0 | 5.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.0% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 46.8%
vtt 2 , vtd1