Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 19:45 • The EMR Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.54) 0.99 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.6% 33.5% 40.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.2%
0 - 1
18.0%
1 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Stanway Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tilbury 0 18.2% 18.0% 8.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.9% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.7% 4.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTilburyStanway Rovers
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack64%100%
Defense27%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.414 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tilbury Stanway Rovers
HATHAT
Played981710818
Wins44%13%29%30%50%39%
Draws33%38%35%40%25%33%
Loses22%50%35%30%25%28%

Form: Tilbury: LWDLDLWLLWDDLDDWW • Stanway Rovers: DWWWLLLLDDDDWLWWDW

League goals

Metric Tilbury Stanway Rovers
HATHAT
GF total9918201434
GF avg1.01.11.12.01.81.9
GA total6172312921
GA avg0.72.11.41.21.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTilburyStanway Rovers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%65%78%72%
1.529%47%56%33%
2.56%18%28%11%
3.50%6%22%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTilburyStanway Rovers
HATHAT
Clean sheets606325
Failed to score325224

Penalties

MetricTilburyStanway Rovers
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTilburyStanway Rovers
Wins13
Draws24
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-34-00-4
Biggest losses1-34-12-33-0
Goals For2354
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricTilburyStanway Rovers
Form44%56%
Att33%67%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : Tilbury or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tilbury = 0.71 (league 1.54), Stanway Rovers = 0.99 (league 1.27)

Stanway Rovers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tilbury 0 18.2% 18.0% 8.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.9% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.7% 4.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.6% · Draw 33.5% · Away win 40.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1