Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • Capershotts
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.22 (league 1.61) 0.86 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.9% 10.8% 6.5%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.4%
2 - 0
8.8%
3 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Downham Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Waltham Abbey 0 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.5% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.8% 7.5% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.4% 8.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.6% 6.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.9% 4.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWaltham AbbeyDownham Town
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack100%86%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Waltham Abbey Downham Town
HATHAT
Played88169918
Wins75%25%50%11%33%22%
Draws0%38%19%33%0%17%
Loses25%38%31%56%67%61%

Form: Waltham Abbey: WDDWWDLLWWWLLLWW • Downham Town: WLLDLLLWWLLLLLDWDL

League goals

Metric Waltham Abbey Downham Town
HATHAT
GF total21103171017
GF avg2.61.31.90.81.10.9
GA total81523161834
GA avg1.01.91.41.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWaltham AbbeyDownham Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%69%67%94%
1.550%38%22%56%
2.531%13%6%22%
3.519%13%0%17%
4.513%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWaltham AbbeyDownham Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets325011
Failed to score033336

Penalties

MetricWaltham AbbeyDownham Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricWaltham AbbeyDownham Town
Wins32
Draws21
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-32-10-2
Biggest losses1-26-00-44-0
Goals For5323
Goals Against2644

Model comparison

MetricWaltham AbbeyDownham Town
Form55%45%
Att60%40%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : Waltham Abbey or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Waltham Abbey = 3.22 (league 1.61), Downham Town = 0.86 (league 1.28)

Downham Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Waltham Abbey 0 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.5% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.8% 7.5% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.4% 8.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.6% 6.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.9% 4.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.9% · Draw 10.8% · Away win 6.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1