Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • The EMR Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.56) 0.64 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.2% 26.4% 16.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.8%
2 - 0
13.2%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Mildenhall Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tilbury 0 12.1% 7.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.8% 11.4% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 8.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTilburyMildenhall Town
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack41%24%
Defense47%35%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tilbury Mildenhall Town
HATHAT
Played88169918
Wins38%13%25%56%22%39%
Draws38%38%38%0%11%6%
Loses25%50%38%44%67%56%

Form: Tilbury: LWDLDLWLLWDDLDDW • Mildenhall Town: WLWLLLWWLDLWWLLWLL

League goals

Metric Tilbury Mildenhall Town
HATHAT
GF total891716925
GF avg1.01.11.11.81.01.4
GA total61723132134
GA avg0.82.11.41.42.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTilburyMildenhall Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%72%89%
1.531%50%28%50%
2.56%19%17%33%
3.50%6%11%11%
4.50%0%6%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTilburyMildenhall Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets505112
Failed to score325235

Penalties

MetricTilburyMildenhall Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTilburyMildenhall Town
Wins12
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-36-13-4
Biggest losses1-34-11-35-0
Goals For2364
Goals Against3435

Model comparison

MetricTilburyMildenhall Town
Form67%33%
Att64%36%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h67%33%
Goals60%40%
Total63.8%36.2%

Advice: Double chance : Tilbury or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tilbury = 1.48 (league 1.56), Mildenhall Town = 0.64 (league 1.26)

Mildenhall Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tilbury 0 12.1% 7.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.8% 11.4% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 8.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.2% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 16.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1