Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 15:00 •
The EMR Stadium
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.54)
1.32 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.4% | 21.3% | 24.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 0
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Tilbury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grays Athletic | 0 | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Grays Athletic | Tilbury |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 75% |
| Defense | 0% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Grays Athletic | Tilbury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| Wins | 36% | 17% | 26% | 50% | 11% | 33% |
| Draws | 27% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 44% | 33% |
| Loses | 36% | 58% | 48% | 25% | 44% | 33% |
Form: Grays Athletic: WLDLLDDDWDDLWWLLLWLLWLL • Tilbury: LWDLDLWLLWDDLDDWWLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Grays Athletic | Tilbury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 11 | 28 | 15 | 11 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 15 | 23 | 38 | 8 | 19 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Grays Athletic | Tilbury | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 78% | 76% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 39% | 38% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 35% | 10% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Grays Athletic | Tilbury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Grays Athletic | Tilbury |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Grays Athletic | Tilbury |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Grays Athletic | Tilbury |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 23% | 77% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 24% | 76% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 46.2% | 53.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Grays Athletic or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Grays Athletic = 2.05 (league 1.54), Tilbury = 1.32 (league 1.27)
| Tilbury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grays Athletic | 0 | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.4% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 24.2%
vtt 2 , vtd1