Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 • The EMR Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.54) 0.82 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.4% 35.5% 34.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.5%
0 - 1
16.9%
1 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Maldon & Tiptree
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tilbury 0 20.5% 16.9% 7.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.6% 12.8% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTilburyMaldon & Tiptree
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack90%90%
Defense60%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tilbury Maldon & Tiptree
HATHAT
Played121022111122
Wins50%20%36%91%64%77%
Draws25%40%32%9%18%14%
Loses25%40%32%0%18%9%

Form: Tilbury: LWDLDLWLLWDDLDDWWLDWWW • Maldon & Tiptree: WWWWWDWWWWLWWDWDWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Tilbury Maldon & Tiptree
HATHAT
GF total151227311748
GF avg1.31.21.22.81.52.2
GA total8192751015
GA avg0.71.91.20.50.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTilburyMaldon & Tiptree
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%59%91%45%
1.536%45%59%18%
2.59%14%32%5%
3.50%5%18%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTilburyMaldon & Tiptree
HATHAT
Clean sheets8197512
Failed to score325112

Penalties

MetricTilburyMaldon & Tiptree
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTilburyMaldon & Tiptree
Wins25
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-36-02-4
Biggest losses1-34-1—3-2
Goals For3364
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricTilburyMaldon & Tiptree
Form45%55%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Maldon & Tiptree

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tilbury = 0.76 (league 1.54), Maldon & Tiptree = 0.82 (league 1.27)

Maldon & Tiptree
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tilbury 0 20.5% 16.9% 7.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.6% 12.8% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.4% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 34.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1