Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 •
Full Vision Stadium
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.54)
1.22 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.0% | 27.9% | 37.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Downham Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Takeley | 0 | 9.4% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Takeley | Downham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 13% |
| Attack | 20% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Takeley | Downham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 25% | 17% | 21% | 8% | 25% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 33% | 8% | 21% |
| Loses | 42% | 58% | 50% | 58% | 67% | 63% |
Form: Takeley: LDLDWLLLWLLWDLWLDDLWDLDL • Downham Town: WLLDLLLWWLLLLLDWDLLLLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Takeley | Downham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 24 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 14 | 28 | 42 | 22 | 26 | 48 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Takeley | Downham Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 67% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 46% | 25% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 29% | 8% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 21% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Takeley | Downham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Takeley | Downham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Takeley | Downham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 6-1 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Takeley | Downham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 52.5% | 47.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Takeley or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Takeley = 1.14 (league 1.54), Downham Town = 1.22 (league 1.27)
| Downham Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Takeley | 0 | 9.4% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.0% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 37.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1