Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:00 •
Memorial Field
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.55)
0.66 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.0% | 37.0% | 27.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
22.9%
1 - 0
18.6%
0 - 1
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Heybridge Swifts | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Downham Town | 0 | 22.9% | 15.1% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 12.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Downham Town | Heybridge Swifts |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 33% | 50% |
| Defense | 42% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 17 | 3.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Downham Town | Heybridge Swifts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 7% | 29% | 18% | 33% | 7% | 21% |
| Draws | 36% | 7% | 21% | 13% | 21% | 17% |
| Loses | 57% | 64% | 61% | 53% | 71% | 62% |
Form: Downham Town: WLLDLLLWWLLLLLDWDLLLLDDLLLDW • Heybridge Swifts: LWWDLDDLLDDLWLWLLLLLLLWLLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Downham Town | Heybridge Swifts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 19 | 27 | 17 | 7 | 24 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 24 | 29 | 53 | 28 | 30 | 58 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Downham Town | Heybridge Swifts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 89% | 59% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 57% | 24% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 25% | 0% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 18% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Downham Town | Heybridge Swifts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Downham Town | Heybridge Swifts |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Downham Town | Heybridge Swifts |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Downham Town | Heybridge Swifts |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 55.5% | 44.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Downham Town or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Downham Town = 0.81 (league 1.55), Heybridge Swifts = 0.66 (league 1.29)
| Heybridge Swifts | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Downham Town | 0 | 22.9% | 15.1% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 12.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.0% · Draw 37.0% · Away win 27.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1