Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 •
Wellesley Recreation Ground
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.52)
1.42 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.8% | 24.3% | 34.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Waltham Abbey | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gorleston | 0 | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gorleston | Waltham Abbey |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 53% |
| Attack | 45% | 40% |
| Defense | 90% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gorleston | Waltham Abbey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 64% | 54% | 59% | 79% | 36% | 57% |
| Draws | 21% | 15% | 19% | 7% | 36% | 21% |
| Loses | 14% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 29% | 21% |
Form: Gorleston: WWLWDWWLLWWLWWDWWDLWLDDWWWW • Waltham Abbey: WDDWWDLLWWWLLLWWWWWWWDWDWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Gorleston | Waltham Abbey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 27 | 50 | 34 | 22 | 56 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 16 | 22 | 38 | 13 | 21 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gorleston | Waltham Abbey | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 74% | 86% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 70% | 37% | 46% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 19% | 32% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 18% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 11% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gorleston | Waltham Abbey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gorleston | Waltham Abbey |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gorleston | Waltham Abbey |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 2-7 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 5-2 | 1-2 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gorleston | Waltham Abbey |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 45.8% | 54.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Gorleston or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gorleston = 1.58 (league 1.52), Waltham Abbey = 1.42 (league 1.24)
| Waltham Abbey | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gorleston | 0 | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.8% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 34.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1