Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 •
Wellesley Recreation Ground
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.52)
1.44 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.9% | 20.1% | 24.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 1
8.2%
3 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Downham Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gorleston | 0 | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gorleston | Downham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 31% | 50% |
| Defense | 44% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gorleston | Downham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 64% | 47% | 55% | 13% | 25% | 19% |
| Draws | 14% | 13% | 14% | 38% | 13% | 25% |
| Loses | 21% | 40% | 31% | 50% | 63% | 56% |
Form: Gorleston: WWLWDWWLLWWLWWDWWLWLDDWWLWWLL • Downham Town: WLLDLLLWWLLLLLDWDLLLLDDLLLDDWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Gorleston | Downham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 27 | 51 | 12 | 21 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 19 | 27 | 46 | 26 | 32 | 58 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gorleston | Downham Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 79% | 69% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 66% | 41% | 28% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 24% | 6% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gorleston | Downham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gorleston | Downham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gorleston | Downham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gorleston | Downham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Gorleston or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gorleston = 2.23 (league 1.52), Downham Town = 1.44 (league 1.26)
| Downham Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gorleston | 0 | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.9% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 24.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1