Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:00 •
First Call Community Stadium
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.54)
2.14 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.9% | 20.5% | 56.3% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
1 - 1
9.1%
0 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Tilbury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heybridge Swifts | 0 | 3.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Tilbury |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 27% | 82% |
| Defense | 64% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Tilbury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 29% | 12% | 21% | 41% | 31% | 36% |
| Draws | 18% | 24% | 21% | 35% | 25% | 30% |
| Loses | 53% | 65% | 59% | 24% | 44% | 33% |
Form: Heybridge Swifts: LWWDLDDLLDDLWLWLLLLLLLWLLLLWLLWDDL • Tilbury: LWDLDLWLLWDDLDDWWLDWLWWLWDLDWWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Tilbury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 9 | 27 | 22 | 24 | 46 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 30 | 32 | 62 | 14 | 27 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Heybridge Swifts | Tilbury | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 79% | 79% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 53% | 42% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 32% | 18% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 12% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Tilbury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Tilbury |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Tilbury |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Tilbury |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 36.7% | 63.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Tilbury
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Heybridge Swifts = 1.22 (league 1.54), Tilbury = 2.14 (league 1.26)
| Tilbury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heybridge Swifts | 0 | 3.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.9% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 56.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1