Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 14:00 •
Wellesley Recreation Ground
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.51)
0.58 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1% | 19.5% | 9.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.3%
2 - 0
15.1%
3 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Heybridge Swifts | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gorleston | 0 | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.3% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gorleston | Heybridge Swifts |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 7% |
| Attack | 33% | 11% |
| Defense | 44% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gorleston | Heybridge Swifts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 19 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 37 |
| Wins | 61% | 42% | 51% | 26% | 11% | 19% |
| Draws | 17% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 22% | 19% |
| Loses | 22% | 42% | 32% | 58% | 67% | 62% |
Form: Gorleston: WWLWDWWLLWWLWWDWWLWLDDWWLWWLLWDDWLWLL • Heybridge Swifts: LWWDLDDLLDDLWLWLLLLLLLWLLLLWLLWDDLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Gorleston | Heybridge Swifts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 33 | 60 | 19 | 10 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 22 | 36 | 58 | 34 | 36 | 70 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gorleston | Heybridge Swifts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 73% | 57% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 41% | 22% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 24% | 0% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gorleston | Heybridge Swifts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 16 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gorleston | Heybridge Swifts |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gorleston | Heybridge Swifts |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 6-1 | 1-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gorleston | Heybridge Swifts |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 65.3% | 34.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Gorleston or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gorleston = 1.98 (league 1.51), Heybridge Swifts = 0.58 (league 1.24)
| Heybridge Swifts | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gorleston | 0 | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.3% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.1% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 9.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1