Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 14:00 •
The EMR Stadium
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.52)
0.52 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.9% | 26.6% | 13.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.2%
2 - 0
14.7%
0 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Grays Athletic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tilbury | 0 | 13.9% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.2% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.7% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tilbury | Grays Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 37% | 21% |
| Defense | 74% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tilbury | Grays Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 18 | 37 | 19 | 19 | 38 |
| Wins | 42% | 33% | 38% | 42% | 16% | 29% |
| Draws | 37% | 22% | 30% | 16% | 26% | 21% |
| Loses | 21% | 44% | 32% | 42% | 58% | 50% |
Form: Tilbury: LWDLDLWLLWDDLDDWWLDWLWWLWDLDWWLWDWWDL • Grays Athletic: WLDLLDDDWDDLWWLLLWLLWLLLWDLWLLWLDWLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Tilbury | Grays Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 28 | 53 | 25 | 16 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 15 | 31 | 46 | 22 | 32 | 54 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tilbury | Grays Athletic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 62% | 55% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 41% | 26% | 34% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 16% | 16% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tilbury | Grays Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 11 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tilbury | Grays Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tilbury | Grays Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 6-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tilbury | Grays Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 56.2% | 44.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Tilbury or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tilbury = 1.45 (league 1.52), Grays Athletic = 0.52 (league 1.23)
| Grays Athletic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tilbury | 0 | 13.9% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.2% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.7% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.9% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 13.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1