Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 14:00 •
Wellesley Recreation Ground
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.59)
1.51 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.6% | 23.8% | 35.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Tilbury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gorleston | 0 | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gorleston | Tilbury |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 58% | 67% |
| Defense | 17% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gorleston | Tilbury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 20 | 39 | 20 | 18 | 38 |
| Wins | 63% | 40% | 51% | 45% | 33% | 39% |
| Draws | 16% | 15% | 15% | 35% | 22% | 29% |
| Loses | 21% | 45% | 33% | 20% | 44% | 32% |
GorlestonWWLWDWWLLWWLWWDWWLWLDDWWLWWLLWDDWLWLLWL
TilburyLWDLDLWLLWDDLDDWWLDWLWWLWDLDWWLWDWWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Gorleston | Tilbury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 33 | 62 | 26 | 28 | 54 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 22 | 37 | 59 | 15 | 31 | 46 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gorleston | Tilbury | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 72% | 82% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 38% | 45% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 23% | 16% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gorleston | Tilbury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gorleston | Tilbury |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gorleston | Tilbury |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 6-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gorleston | Tilbury |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 44.7% | 55.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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