Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Crown Meadow
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.57)
2.10 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.5% | 20.7% | 42.7% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.9%
1 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Brightlingsea Regent | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lowestoft Town | 0 | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Brightlingsea Regent carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 77 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Lowestoft Town +53.0, Brightlingsea Regent +3.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Lowestoft Town
vs
Brightlingsea Regent
Elo gapBrightlingsea Regent +77
Home / draw / away31% / 21% / 48%
Expected home share39%
Combined Elo2892.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2892.7
Elo home share
39%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Lowestoft Town | Brightlingsea Regent |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1390.5 | 1502.2 |
| Form Elo | 1406.7 | 1502.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1436.2 | 1498.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1446.7 | 1537.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1281 | 1470.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +53.0 | +3.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Lowestoft Town last-5 Elo change: +53.0; Brightlingsea Regent last-5 Elo change: +3.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lowestoft Town | Brightlingsea Regent |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 60% |
| Attack | 44% | 44% |
| Defense | 72% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lowestoft Town | Brightlingsea Regent | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 21 | 40 | 21 | 20 | 41 |
| Wins | 37% | 24% | 30% | 48% | 30% | 39% |
| Draws | 11% | 24% | 18% | 14% | 25% | 20% |
| Loses | 53% | 52% | 53% | 38% | 45% | 41% |
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Brightlingsea RegentLLLWLLDLWDWWLLWWWWWDDDWLLDLLWWLLWDDLWLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Lowestoft Town | Brightlingsea Regent | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 32 | 22 | 54 | 37 | 23 | 60 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 41 | 40 | 81 | 25 | 34 | 59 |
| GA avg | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lowestoft Town | Brightlingsea Regent | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 85% | 66% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 63% | 44% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 33% | 29% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 20% | 7% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lowestoft Town | Brightlingsea Regent | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lowestoft Town | Brightlingsea Regent |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lowestoft Town | Brightlingsea Regent |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-0 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lowestoft Town | Brightlingsea Regent |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 44.7% | 55.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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