Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Full Vision Stadium
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.59)
1.10 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.6% | 32.1% | 45.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.6%
0 - 0
16.9%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Wroxham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Takeley | 0 | 16.9% | 18.6% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Wroxham carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 57 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Takeley -24.8, Wroxham +3.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Takeley
vs
Wroxham
Elo gapWroxham +57
Home / draw / away32% / 24% / 44%
Expected home share42%
Combined Elo2947
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2947
Elo home share
42%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Takeley | Wroxham |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1427.5 | 1519.5 |
| Form Elo | 1424.1 | 1518.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1463.4 | 1512.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1353.1 | 1452.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1394.6 | 1580.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -24.8 | +3.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Takeley last-5 Elo change: -24.8; Wroxham last-5 Elo change: +3.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Takeley | Wroxham |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 60% |
| Attack | 11% | 33% |
| Defense | 50% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Takeley | Wroxham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 21 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
| Wins | 37% | 24% | 30% | 50% | 45% | 48% |
| Draws | 16% | 24% | 20% | 25% | 20% | 23% |
| Loses | 47% | 52% | 50% | 25% | 35% | 30% |
TakeleyLDLDWLLLWLLWDLWLDLWLLDDWWLLLWDWWLWWLDLLL
WroxhamWWLDWWDDWWLWLWWLDWDWWLDDDLWLWWLLLDWLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Takeley | Wroxham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 16 | 39 | 32 | 19 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 26 | 43 | 69 | 24 | 18 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Takeley | Wroxham | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 80% | 68% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 43% | 40% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 28% | 13% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 13% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 8% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Takeley | Wroxham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 10 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Takeley | Wroxham |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Takeley | Wroxham |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 6-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Takeley | Wroxham |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 10% | 90% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 32.2% | 67.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…