AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Racing Club Warwick

Non League Div One - Northern Midlands — England

Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • Hayden Road

Match Finished

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

1 - 0

Racing Club Warwick

Expected Goals

2.45 (league 1.63) 1.14 (league 1.31)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
62.2%	17.8%	15.9%

best score tips

2 - 1

9.4%

2 - 0

8.3%

3 - 1

7.7%

Score & goals probability table

		Racing Club Warwick
		0	1	2	3	4	5
AFC Rushden & Diamonds	0	2.7%	3.1%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
	1	6.7%	7.7%	4.4%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
	2	8.3%	9.4%	5.4%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
	3	6.8%	7.7%	4.4%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
	4	4.1%	4.7%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
	5	2.0%	2.3%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	AFC Rushden & Diamonds	Racing Club Warwick
Played	5	5
Form	40%	67%
Attack	38%	67%
Defense	52%	81%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	14 \| 2.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%

FT probability

2.5+

66%

FT probability

3.5+

47%

FT probability

BTTS

73%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	AFC Rushden & Diamonds			Racing Club Warwick
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	5	4	9	7	4	11
Wins	60%	0%	33%	29%	50%	36%
Draws	20%	25%	22%	29%	0%	18%
Loses	20%	75%	44%	43%	50%	45%

Form: AFC Rushden & Diamonds: DDWLLLWWL • Racing Club Warwick: DWLLLLLWWWD

League goals

Metric	AFC Rushden & Diamonds			Racing Club Warwick
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	8	4	12	13	6	19
GF avg	1.6	1.0	1.3	1.9	1.5	1.7
GA total	5	11	16	9	10	19
GA avg	1.0	2.8	1.8	1.3	2.5	1.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	AFC Rushden & Diamonds		Racing Club Warwick
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	78%	89%	73%	73%
1.5	33%	44%	45%	45%
2.5	11%	33%	27%	27%
3.5	11%	11%	27%	18%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	AFC Rushden & Diamonds			Racing Club Warwick
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	0	1	2	1	3
Failed to score	1	1	2	1	2	3

Penalties

Metric	AFC Rushden & Diamonds	Racing Club Warwick
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	AFC Rushden & Diamonds	Racing Club Warwick
Wins	2	3
Draws	2	1
Losses	3	5

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-2	—	4-0	0-4
Biggest losses	0-1	4-1	2-3	5-0
Goals For	4	2	4	4
Goals Against	2	4	3	5

Model comparison

Metric	AFC Rushden & Diamonds	Racing Club Warwick
Form	38%	63%
Att	36%	64%
Def	29%	71%
Poisson Distribution	69%	31%
H2h	20%	80%
Goals	17%	83%
Total	34.8%	65.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Racing Club Warwick

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Racing Club Warwick

Expected goals (λ): AFC Rushden & Diamonds = 2.45 (league 1.63), Racing Club Warwick = 1.14 (league 1.31)

		Racing Club Warwick
		0	1	2	3	4	5
AFC Rushden & Diamonds	0	2.7%	3.1%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
	1	6.7%	7.7%	4.4%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
	2	8.3%	9.4%	5.4%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
	3	6.8%	7.7%	4.4%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
	4	4.1%	4.7%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
	5	2.0%	2.3%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.2% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 15.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	AFC Rushden & Diamonds	Racing Club Warwick
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0