Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 •
Hayden Road
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.63)
0.91 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.1% | 30.4% | 29.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Rugby Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Rushden & Diamonds | 0 | 13.2% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | Rugby Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 45% | 100% |
| Defense | 36% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | Rugby Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 57% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 43% | 38% |
| Draws | 29% | 20% | 25% | 0% | 29% | 15% |
| Loses | 14% | 80% | 42% | 67% | 29% | 46% |
Form: AFC Rushden & Diamonds: DDWLLLWWLWDL • Rugby Town: LWLLLDWLLWDWW
League goals
| Metric | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | Rugby Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 5 | 14 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | Rugby Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 75% | 92% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 42% | 46% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 33% | 15% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | Rugby Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | Rugby Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | Rugby Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | — | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | Rugby Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 91% | 9% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 57.5% | 42.5% |
Advice: Double chance : AFC Rushden & Diamonds or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AFC Rushden & Diamonds = 1.12 (league 1.63), Rugby Town = 0.91 (league 1.31)
| Rugby Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AFC Rushden & Diamonds | 0 | 13.2% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.1% · Draw 30.4% · Away win 29.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1