Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:00 • Butlin Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.60) 1.93 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.9% 21.7% 42.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Long Eaton United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rugby Town 0 2.6% 5.1% 4.9% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
1 4.5% 8.7% 8.4% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.4% 7.1% 4.6% 2.2% 0.9%
3 2.2% 4.2% 4.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRugby TownLong Eaton United
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense50%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rugby Town Long Eaton United
HATHAT
Played67137714
Wins33%43%38%57%29%43%
Draws0%29%15%14%29%21%
Loses67%29%46%29%43%36%

Form: Rugby Town: LWLLLDWLLWDWW • Long Eaton United: LWWDDWLLLLWWDW

League goals

Metric Rugby Town Long Eaton United
HATHAT
GF total81220101323
GF avg1.31.71.51.41.91.6
GA total8101861521
GA avg1.31.41.40.92.11.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRugby TownLong Eaton United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%77%79%64%
1.546%46%50%43%
2.515%15%36%21%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRugby TownLong Eaton United
HATHAT
Clean sheets123415
Failed to score101213

Penalties

MetricRugby TownLong Eaton United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRugby TownLong Eaton United
Wins12
Draws12
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-10-45-3
Goals For3333
Goals Against2345

Model comparison

MetricRugby TownLong Eaton United
Form50%50%
Att48%52%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total43.8%56.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Long Eaton United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rugby Town = 1.71 (league 1.60), Long Eaton United = 1.93 (league 1.28)

Long Eaton United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rugby Town 0 2.6% 5.1% 4.9% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
1 4.5% 8.7% 8.4% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.4% 7.1% 4.6% 2.2% 0.9%
3 2.2% 4.2% 4.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.9% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 42.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1